As of 2026-09-09 · Stated value only · Confidential — Tribal Council
Universe → Funnel → Pipeline → Backlog
Kevin input Kevin Blaser delta folded 2026-09-09 — NEW Photon Vault / Brown Bear / Sun Bear (3000 MW gated) / Enterprise TUA ($335K Backlog) / Gvolt-Simco; Colville & Grand Portage → Backlog; Stratos NorCal & Tejon Off-Board exclusions. See Assumptions for full Kevin_Delta.
Pipeline Council stated-only face value is not the same as Forecast revenue timing. See Forecast Proforma for Backlog recognition (FY2026E–FY2029E).
Filters & deal-type chips
Funnel deals (sortable — default Council $ desc)
Name
Owner
Phase
Stage (Council-safe)
Council $
MW
Next Step
On Board
Hot Clock — near-term deadlines
Black Oak & Chumash Casino proposals due Sep 24, 2026 (countdown from dashboard as-of). Plus Opportunity/Contract rows with urgent stage language.
Backlog — Contract phase
Backlog = deals moving into LNTP / Consulting / EPC / EPC+O&M. Revenue timing for these is modeled on the Forecast Proforma tab — not the face-value Council $ below.
Name
Stage
Owner
Value
MW
Next Step
On Board
Buy-Side — equipment / tech / brokerage
Separate from sell-side pipeline. These are CIE-as-buyer (or brokerage) rows — not included in Council $ / MW rollups.
Name
Stage
CIE Role
Price / Offer
MW
Next Step
On Board
Owner heatmap — deals & Council $
Teal bars = Council stated $ · Blue bars = deal count · MW = council-included only
Universe — All Leads
Addressable-market slice from Dynamics-style lead list. Hot + Not clearly in Funnel highlighted. No invented Universe market-size dollars.
Company
Owner
Topic
Priority
Est. Value
In Funnel?
Lead Source
Forecast Proforma — FY2026E–FY2029E
Backlog revenue recognition (time-phased), not pipeline face value.
Sycuan construction (EPC remaining scope) ≈ $34.15M SOV — Shelby rounded ~$34.8M.
Calendar phasing from Forecast Proforma SOV: 2026 ≈ $3.47M · 2027 ≈ $28.33M (bulk) · 2028 ≈ $2.35M.
This is EPC construction recognition, not Covarrubia build–own PPA recurring. See component cards below for year detail.
Covarrubia / CIE Generation PPA recurring lives on the Generation / PPA tab — build–then–own plants (Spokane, Quincy, Redding, Colusa Strata).
Construction capital excluded there (memo only). Do not mix into this EPC/turbine Forecast Proforma. Do not double-count Quincy ~$1.9M consulting into PPA rev.
* Schedule-driven 2028 is a cliff year (no turbine ships; negative EBITDA). † Smoothed alt replaces 2028 revenue lines with 2027×1.125; other P&L lines shown only where provided in source JSON.
Component breakdown
Forecast assumptions
Disclaimer:
Flag: Cache Creek 2026 adj = UNRESOLVED_EXTERNAL_LINK → treated as $0 until linked workbook provided.
Generation / PPA — Covarrubia Build–Own Recurring
Finance the build, own the debt, earn PPA / recurring revenue. Separate from EPC backlog face-value and FY26–29 Forecast Proforma.
Separator — Sycuan is NOT in this layer.
Sycuan ~$34.8M (SOV remaining ≈ $34.15M; Shelby rounded) is EPC construction recognition — largely 2027 (~$28.33M) — see Forecast Proforma.
It is not build–own PPA recurring. Do not move Sycuan here. Do not double-count.
Planning-grade / placeholders. Quincy & Redding PPA $/MWh are placeholders (Colusa offtaker/rate TBD).
Construction capital is EXCLUDED from this revenue model (financed separately — shown as capex memo only).
NOT in EPC Forecast Proforma. Numbers computed from Project Inputs (workbook). Quincy MW = 345 per Inputs (P&L header still says 250 MW — quirk; we use Inputs).
Projects — Build–Own / PPA recurring
Project
Deal type
MW
Fuel
Offtaker
PPA Y1 $/MWh
COD
Y1 frac
SS MWh
SS Revenue
SS EBITDA
Capex memo
Calendar strip — when recurring kicks in (vs EPC construction)
2026–2027 PPA revenue ≈ $0 (pre-COD). Spokane & Redding COD 2028; Quincy 2029; Colusa Strata 2030. Sycuan EPC bar is construction recognition only.
Sycuan EPC construction (Forecast)Covarrubia PPA recurring (this tab)